Solely three groups within the Premier League have extra wins for the reason that World Cup than Aston Villa, which has put collectively an 11-3-6 (W-D-L) stretch since Christmas to present itself an honest probability of qualifying for a European competitors.
Whereas Unai Emery and Villa deserve a ton of credit score for the outcomes they’ve collected over the second half of the season, there are some issues that this stretch has been quite a lot of smoke and mirrors.
The Villans have scored 30 objectives and conceded 21 over their final 20 matches, however their anticipated objectives output is far more pedestrian.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham choose
(10 a.m. Japanese)
Aston Villa has created 26.8 anticipated objectives in that span and conceded 29.3.
In line with Understat, a group with that form of statistical portfolio ought to have round 28 factors. Villa has 36.
Whereas Aston Villa has stabilized for the reason that World Cup, issues have gone the opposite course for Tottenham Hotspur.
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It has been an uneven season and the market appears to have written it off a bit on this spot.
It’s laborious to belief Spurs as a favourite, however they’re the underdog on this spot and have lots to play for as they’ll have to get one thing from this match to maintain Villa from taking their Europa League spot.
This can be a nice buy-low, sell-high spot.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction
Tottenham (+200, FanDuel)