MLB PrizePicks predictions, participant picks July 26: Cody Bellinger, Tony Gonsolin

Welcome again to a different PrizePicks MLB Wednesday!

We have now a pair of pitchers and two hitters to research, so let’s dive in.

Tony Gonsolin lower than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

Gonsolin has been obtainable for many of the 2023 season, and with the quite a few accidents LA’s rotation has handled, that’s all of the Dodgers can ask for proper now.

Gonsolin would possibly simply be profiled as a median major-league pitcher at this level. He’s sporting a good 3.78 ERA, however his xERA is roughly a full run greater, and his FIP is greater than 5.00.

Tony has struck out left-handed batters at a good 23% clip, however he owns only a 19% Okay price towards right-handed batters.

The Toronto lineup is affected by highly effective right-handed batters, as RotoGrinders tasks the Blue Jays to roll out not less than six of them towards him.

He’s been a bit extra predictable throughout the final month, throwing his four-seam fastball roughly 45% of the time to hitters.

Predictability and pitching to contact don’t pair properly collectively.

Gonsolin has his work reduce out for him towards this stout American League lineup on Wednesday.

Kyle Bradish greater than 28.5 Pitcher Fantasy Rating

Bradish might be probably the most improved main leaguer that no one exterior of Baltimore is speaking about.

His ERA is nearly sub-3 and he hasn’t given up greater than two earned runs throughout any begin in about six weeks.

Bradish solely walks 6% of hitters, has a really respectable Okay price, and owns a 46% ground-ball price.

His slider has been his pitch of selection throughout the final month – one which this Philly lineup has collectively struggled with this season.

I consider he’s in a very good place to get via a reasonably clear sport and an opportunity at a top quality begin, which makes this quantity very attainable for him.

Cody Bellinger greater than 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Rating

Lance Lynn is getting completely clobbered by left-handed hitters in 2023, yielding a 14% barrel price, a .317 ISO, and a 50% hard-contact price.

This units up properly for one of many hottest hitters in baseball, Cody Bellinger, who’s alleged to be on the transfer on the commerce deadline.

Bellinger is having one heck of a season and eventually appears like that former MVP all of us keep in mind.

He’s hitting a career-high .314, placing out simply 16% of the time, and has a dozen steals on his 2023 resume.

Bellinger additionally has the bottom 2023 ground-ball price vs. right-handed pitchers within the Chicago projected lineup.

There are many methods Bellinger might accumulate factors on this matchup, and I believe this quantity is a bit too low.

Kyle Tucker greater than 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Rating

Give me the lefty-lefty matchup right here. Tucker has been among the best 5 hitters in baseball for the reason that All-Star break. 

Opposing pitcher Andrew Heaney has been way more attackable with right-handed batters this season, however he’s nonetheless not unbelievable towards lefties.

He’s strolling a putrid 19% of them, so not solely ought to Tucker see favorable hitting counts, however he’s a critical menace to steal when he will get on base.

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Regardless of holding left-handed hitters to respectable energy metrics, Heaney continues to be yielding a 50% hard-contact price to them, whereas Tucker owns a monstrous 68% hard-contact price, a .235 ISO, and a 9% stroll price towards left-handed pitchers.

Heaney doesn’t typically go too deep into the sport and the Texas bullpen has the fourth-worst ERA in baseball.

There are many “outs” for Tucker to get us the place we must be on this matchup.