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Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction: Bet on Dallas and CeeDee Lamb prop

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The stage is set for Dak Prescott’s do-or-die moment.

On Sunday night, the Eagles head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys.

If Prescott comes out victorious, he finally picks up a signature win, and the Cowboys pull into a tie atop the NFC East.

It would also separate him from Brock Purdy and Jalen Hurts, among others, in the MVP race.

I already bet Dallas earlier in the week and would still grab them at the 3.5 number.

Though the Eagles are 10-2, there have been clear issues that have presented themselves in recent weeks.

For starters, Hurts has struggled over the past three weeks.

The step up in competition alongside a knee injury, which Hurts has played through, has led to a step back in efficiency.

Tack on a pass defense that has been littered with holes, and Sunday sets up for a Cowboys statement win at home.

That leads me to my favorite prop of the game as well, and that’s continuing to buy on one of the league’s best receivers: CeeDee Lamb.

Lamb has started to reach Tyreek Hill-level of respect in the betting market.


Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott Getty Images

His receiving yards prop sits between 90-92.5, and I’m expecting the superstar to hit the century mark yet again.

Think back to the last game against the Eagles.

Dallas focused on feeding Lamb, and he hauled in 11 receptions for 191 yards. It came in a stretch where Lamb had 100-plus yards in four straight, and after a couple of down games — 93 combined yards in back-to-back blowout wins over the Panthers and Commanders — Lamb hung 116 on Seattle in prime time.

Even when Lamb didn’t put up eye-popping numbers, he garnered nine targets each game.

Over the past six games, Lamb has averaged 118 yards on 13.2 targets.

You may look at this matchup and think Darius Slay would shadow Lamb, but it’ll rarely happen.


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Lamb lines up in the slot nearly 60 percent of the time and will instead draw Bradley Roby or Eli Ricks when Philly goes to man coverage. Roby has a Pro Football Focus coverage grade of 55.9, and Ricks is down at 35.7.

That’s just part of the downfall of this Eagles defense.

Though they are top-10 against the rush, Philadelphia is 24th in DVOA against the pass. They are 24th against the WR3 position — slot receiver — as well.

The Cowboys move Lamb all over the field and focus on getting the ball in their star’s hands.

There are plenty of holes in the middle of the field against an Eagles defense that is 31st in receiving yards allowed.

Sunday night sets up to be a high-scoring bout.

Given Prescott’s success of late, the Eagles’ front seven being able to stuff the run ,and Dallas’ shift toward being a more pass-heavy offense, all the more value is put on Lamb.

This is going to be an exciting game in which the game script calls for plenty of passing.

Against the Eagles in Week 9, Prescott had a season-high 44 attempts.

I expect a similar output again Sunday.

Back Prescott and Lamb to pick apart this not-so-scary Eagles secondary in prime time.

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