Biden leads Trump in 2024 popular vote, trails Haley, DeSantis: poll
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President Biden would narrowly win the popular vote over former President Donald Trump if the next election were held today, but would lose out to both Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, a new poll has found.
Biden topped Trump 49% to 48% among registered voters, while lagging behind Haley 49% to 45%, according to the Fox News survey released Wednesday.
The incumbent Democrat also trails DeSantis by 49% to 47% in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
“A Biden-Trump rematch starts at pressure-cooker level and keeps Democrats highly united,” Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who helped conduct the survey, told Fox News.
“If Republicans somehow pick someone other than Trump, the pressure immediately drops, and some Democrats might toy with backing the Republican — that doesn’t happen if Trump’s the nominee.”
The 77-year-old Trump still retains a whopping national polling lead over the rest of the 2024 GOP pack.
Trump garners 59% support among Republican primary voters, while DeSantis is a distant second with 13%, Haley garners 10% support, biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy stands at 7%, former Vice President Mike Pence gets 4%, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has 3%, and Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) pulls 1%.
The Fox poll closely mirrors the latest RealClearPolitics aggregate, which has Trump at an average of 57.8% support nationwide, while DeSantis receives an average of 12.8% support.
The 45th president leads Biden by 0.8 percentage points in a popular vote matchup, 45.3% to 44.5%, per RealClearPolitics.
Meanwhile, just 45% of Democratic primary voters back Biden as the party’s 2024 standard bearer, while 53% want someone else to be the party’s nominee, the Fox News poll indicated.
On the Republican side, 82% of primary voters say they’re happy with the candidate options presented.
In another sign of voter discontent with a potential Trump-Biden matchup, 64% of respondents felt the current president was out of touch with everyday Americans, with 59% saying the same of the former president.
Voters also signaled willingness to look at third-party candidates, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. getting 16% of the vote in a three-way battle with Biden and Trump, who each got 41% in that scenario.
Left-wing professor Cornel West receives 9% of the vote in a hypothetical matchup, with Trump receiving 45% support and Biden getting 43%.
The Fox News poll was conducted Oct. 6-9 among 1,007 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.0 percentage points.
For questions asked of Democratic and Republican primary voters, the margin of error was plus-or-minus 4.5 percentage points.
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