NBA PrizePicks predictions Monday, Mar. 20: Mitchell Robinson, De’Aaron Fox
We’re hitting the house stretch of the NBA common season.
We have now groups which might be battling for seeding, we now have groups which might be battling to make the playoffs, and we now have groups which might be doing their greatest tanking impression to be able to get a greater probability within the Victor Wembanyama Sweepstakes.
There are six video games on the schedule tonight and after scouring the PrizePicks foyer, I’ve discovered my 4 favourite alternatives for Monday night time.
Andrew Nembhard greater than 14.5 factors
Rookies are usually risky and that has been the case for Nembhard this season. Nonetheless, he appears to be coming into his personal late within the season.
With Tyrese Haliburton out the final 4 video games, Nembhard has scored 22, 24, 15, and 19 factors.
He’s surpassed his level projection in all of these video games, and I like that streak to proceed tonight in opposition to the Hornets, who’re ranked sixth in tempo and twenty first in defensive score this season.
Nembhard ought to have a excessive utilization fee regardless, but it surely might be even larger if Chris Duarte and/or Bennedict Mathurin are additionally dominated out tonight.
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Nick Richards greater than 8.5 rebounds
The Hornets traded Mason Plumlee and Mark Williams has missed the final 4 video games with a thumb damage.
This has given Richards the prospect to begin and he’s been an elite rebounder in his restricted motion this season.
On a per-24 minute foundation, he has averaged 7.8 rebounds. At RotoGrinders, we now have him projected to play 28 minutes, which places him in line for simply over 10 rebounds.
The matchup additionally units up nicely for him, because the Pacers are twenty eighth in rebounding fee and it is a uncommon sport the place the Hornets aren’t massive underdogs (1.5-point unfold).
Betting on the NBA?
Mitchell Robinson greater than 16.5 factors + rebounds
On the season, Robinson has averaged 7.5 factors and 9.1 rebounds per sport, which is sort of similar to his projection on PrizePicks tonight.
Nonetheless, he’s topped 16.5 factors + rebounds in 5 of his final seven video games.
He has been far more environment friendly since coming back from damage and finds himself in a great spot this night.
He’s enjoying at house in opposition to the Wolves, who’re the fourth worst rebounding crew within the league.
Robinson ought to spend most of his night time within the paint, as Rudy Gobert hardly ever strays removed from the rim.
De’Aaron Fox lower than 44.5 fantasy rating
We have now to search for worth always and the 44.5 fantasy level projection on PrizePicks feels a tad too excessive for tonight.
A matchup in opposition to the Jazz is very interesting, however we now have Fox projected for 40 fantasy factors over at RotoGrinders.
There’s a huge hole in these two projections, which creates worth on the lower than aspect of this decide.
There must be loads of scoring on this sport, however Fox has scored lower than 44.5 fantasy factors in 5 of his final six video games.
Let’s go 4-for-4 tonight.
You’ll be able to observe Derek Farnsworth on Twitter @RG_Notorious