UFC Fight Night predictions: Vicente Luque will knockout Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC Battle Evening returns to Las Vegas and the APEX Middle for an additional night time of fights.
After a brutal card final week, the place we did the reverse sweep, we obtained again on the horse on Dana White’s Tuesday Evening Contender Collection, the place we went 3-2 and nailed a +220 underdog.
The reverse of fortunes must be a step in the appropriate path as we head into Saturday’s battle card which options 13 bouts together with six on the primary card.
Saturday’s total UFC battle card might be broadcasted on ESPN beginning at 4 p.m. and the primary card begins at 7 p.m. Japanese, additionally on ESPN.
UFC Battle Evening
Vicente Luque vs. Rafael Dos Anjos
Vicente Luque is coming into this battle off a mind bleed that he sustained after a loss to Geoff Neal.
You learn that proper.
The Nevada State Athletic Fee has cleared Luque to return to the octagon 12 months after the scary harm and believes he’s wholesome sufficient to battle.
Luque was a -300 favourite in opposition to Neal final 12 months, and can be favored right here if the harm wasn’t a priority.
However he is available in as a +105 underdog reverse Rafael Dos Anjos, a grappling powerhouse on the ripe age of 38.
Luque can be a much bigger favourite if not for the apparent danger of reinjury however that spells a chance for the extra violent fighter with loads of methods to win.
Taking the underdog right here more likely to the shock of many.
Hakeem Dawodu vs. Cub Swanson
Coming in as a transparent favourite to Saturday’s co-main occasion is Hakeem “The Dream” Dawodu, reverse UFC veteran Cub Swanson.
Swanson is without doubt one of the extra violent fighters we’ve got ever had within the UFC, always sitting within the pocket and entering into stand-up wars on the ft.
Dawodu is a stand-up fighter true and true, he has no UFC takedowns to his file.
Hakeem “The Dream” is the a lot increased quantity striker right here however the decide’s new scoring parameters give me some pause about how a lot quantity actually issues anymore.
Swanson is unquestionably the extra violent of the 2 and whereas he would possibly eat extra photographs, he is also more likely to land the extra damaging blows.
The place this argument falls off for me is Swanson’s age, he turns 40 in November.
Had this battle occurred three years in the past, it might be tasty to again Swanson at a +170 worth.
Sadly, father time is really defeated and Dawodu is coming into the prime of his profession with quick fingers and no takedowns to essentially be involved about.
Dawodu hasn’t misplaced a straight up boxing match in his UFC profession and also you shouldn’t count on that to occur right here.
Seize Dawodu right here at a moneyline worth, possibly a Dawodu + begins spherical 2 parlay in case your sportsbook provides that form of guess.
The official choose right here is Dawodu by choice +210 on BetRivers.
Chris Daukaus vs. Khalil Rountree
Within the mild heavyweight division we get the previous Philadelpgia police officer Chris Daukaus dealing with Khalil Rountree.
Daukaus was as soon as a favourite going right into a battle in opposition to Derrick Lewis, one he misplaced inside the primary minute by knockout.
Since then, it has been all down hill for the UFC large man.
Tonight profiles as in all probability the very best matchup that Daukaus has had in a while as Rountree is usually a low-volume striker that may be taken down at will by opponents.
The place Daukaus ought to search for a bonus is in these grappling exchanges.
In actually a must-win battle for Daukaus after dropping three in a row, search for Daukaus to essentially push the tempo and get Rountree on his again foot up in opposition to the cage.
Daukaus may then choose to wrestle or clinch, a spot that nobody ought to belief Rountree at this level.
Rountree has been to loads of choices and whereas Daukaus’ chin could possibly be fully gone, this battle has a greater likelihood to go the gap than oddsmakers are suggesting with a ridiculous +420 line on FanDuel.
Begin with the battle to start out spherical 2 at +100 to cowl your danger, and ladder the over time props from there as follows with all strains offered by FanDuel.
- Battle begins spherical 2 +!00 (1.5 models to win 1.5 models)
- Over 1.5 rounds +132 (.5 models)
- Battle begins spherical 3 +245 (.25 models)
- Over 2.5 rounds +300 (.25 models)
- Battle goes the gap +420 (.25 models)
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UFC Battle Evening Vegas 78 prop guess of the week: JP Buys wins by submission in spherical 1 +1600 (FanDuel)
A protracted shot prop on your betting pleasure this night as JP Buys faces Marcus McGhee within the bantamweight division.
Buys already comes into this battle as large underdog in opposition to a severe prospect like McGhee.
And I wouldn’t go on to say that Buys must be anticipated to win this battle.
As an alternative, that is only a worth guess, because it covers most of Buys’ win situation.
He’s actually a primary spherical or bust fighter and most of his wins have come by submission and extra particularly within the first spherical.
Buys has 5 wins by submission within the first spherical which depend for all of his submission wins.
Wager this one responsibly as it’s a lengthy shot, however your cash is unlikely to spent higher within the sports activities betting market than on Buys by spherical one submission at this worth level.
UFC Battle Evening Vegas 78 picks
- Vicente Luque moneyline +105 (Caesars)
- Hakeem Dawodu by choice +215 (BetRivers)
- Daukaus/Rountree time props as listed
- JP Buys by submission spherical 1 +1600 (FanDuel)
