2023-24 Premier League season preview: Fulham will continue slide into relegation

The 2023-24 Premier League season begins Friday, so now is an ideal time to determine a couple of groups to purchase or promote within the early a part of the marketing campaign. 

We’ll begin on the backside of the desk with a membership anticipated to be in a season-long relegation scrap: 

2023-24 Premier League preview

Purchase: Bournemouth  (150/1, BetRivers)

Tipped as the favourite to be relegated final season, Bournemouth stayed up comparatively comfortably due to a stirring efficiency down the stretch underneath supervisor Gary O’Neill.

Regardless of that, the membership determined to maneuver on from O’Neill and usher in Andoni Iraola from Rayo Vallecano. 

Although it might sound counter-intuitive to sack the supervisor that stored the relegation favorites within the Premier League, Iraola is likely one of the sport’s most promising younger managers and this means that the Cherries should not glad with simply staying within the high division — they’ve larger aspirations. 

Regardless of the positivity surrounding the Cherries this summer time, they’re nonetheless the fourth-favorites to be relegated at most sportsbooks.

That looks as if an underestimation of a crew that’s on target and will be capable to pull off a few large upsets in opposition to the Premier League’s large golf equipment. 

Promote: Fulham (100/1, Bet365)

No crew surpassed expectations fairly like Fulham final season.

The Cottagers had been one of many betting favorites to be relegated however rode a powerful begin to stability and by no means had been underneath any actual stress.

Fulham completed in tenth place with 52 factors and a plus-two purpose distinction.

The overall consensus across the league is that Fulham can construct off that spectacular efficiency and develop into an ascendant crew like Brighton or Brentford. 

However should you look underneath the hood, you’ll see that a whole lot of that success is unsustainable.

In keeping with Soccer Reference, Fulham completed the season with a minus-17.6 anticipated purpose differential and conceded 64 anticipated targets, which is 11 targets larger than its precise 53 targets allowed in 2022-23. 

Fulham didn’t do a lot to enhance its protection over the summer time, and the membership’s main purpose scorer, Aleksandar Mitrovic is trying to transfer on from the membership after scoring 14 instances in 24 matches final marketing campaign.

With out Mitrovic bagging targets, Fulham’s margin for error mainly evaporates.

There’s no established purpose scorer on this roster who can present the output wanted to outscore the Cottagers’ defensive deficiencies. 

The market could present some confidence in Fulham after a terrific 2022-23 season, however the Cottagers’ statistical profile makes them a terrific fade candidate in opposition to different relegation contenders. 

Purchase: Tottenham Hotspur (40/1, BetMGM)

We’ll now shift our focus to the highest of the desk and Tottenham Hotspur, which is coming off a disappointing eighth-place end in 2022-23.

It was the second time previously three seasons that Spurs completed outdoors the highest six within the Premier League. 

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A crew with sufficient star energy to contend for a spot within the high 4 and maybe past, there’s been a adverse aura round Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for fairly some time as a consequence of their managers.

None of Jose Mourinho, Nuno Espirito Santo, nor Antonio Conte had been good matches for a membership with this a lot attacking expertise, and it grew to become clear the Spurs had been crying out for a extra constructive, progressive supervisor to get them again within the combine with the elite golf equipment within the league. 

The appointment of Ange Postecoglou definitely ticks these containers, and although it comes with some danger — that is his first time managing one in every of Europe’s large 5 leagues — the upside is sort of excessive. 

There’s nonetheless loads of skepticism surrounding Spurs going into 2023-24, however that could possibly be excellent news for shrewd bettors trying to purchase low on a crew that could possibly be undervalued in matches in opposition to title contenders like Man Metropolis, Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United.